Power price forecasts

Access reliable, machine-learning-based power price projections designed to guide investment, hedging, and risk management across Europe and Latin America. Navigate energy market volatility and shape long-term strategies with confidence.

   

Bankable forecasts to manage merchant risk with confidence

New installed capacity
Projected new installed energy capacity by source (2012–2050)

Reliable price intelligence for investment and risk management

Reliable power price forecasts are the foundation for sound investment, hedging, and investment decisions. DNV's proprietary machine learning-enhanced modelling captures real-world market behavior to deliver bankable forecasts with proven accuracy across Europe. Future-ready and data-driven, our approach integrates Energy System Modelling (ETO), Fundamental Power Market Modelling (PLEXOS), and Machine Learning Analytics software. These complementary methods ensure forecasts reflect the robust interaction between the energy system, economic dispatch, and market dynamics.

The result: robust and accurate power price forecasts to help you manage risk and make decisions with confidence

Day ahead market price evolution
Seasonal market price evolution: From volatility to balance

Clear insights to navigate volatile power markets

Market volatility, weather-driven renewables, and rising investment risks are reshaping the energy landscape. DNV power price forecasts help you:

  • Navigate uncertainty and management merchant risk
  • Understand long-term market trends and energy technology deployment
  • Support asset valuation and investment decisions

Why accurate power price forecasting matter

Making informed decisions in the electricity market is perhaps more difficult and more important than ever. Market volatility, weather-driven renewables and rising investment risks raise the complexity for investors, developers and policymakers alike.


DNV´s Power Price Forecasting uses machine learning based models reflect real-world market behaviour giving you reliable, independent insights to manage merchant risk, evaluate opportunities, and make investment decisions.

Assess market and technology deployment trends

Evaluate project feasibility with accurate, bankable forecasts

Identify the most profitable markets and timing for investments

Evaluates merchant risk and strengthen long-term asset valuation

Delivered through the Power Analytics platform

Power Price Forecasts are delivered through DNV’s Power Analytics, an all-in-one, intuitive forecasting platform. Power Analytics gives clients continuous online access to up-to-date, long-term price projection reports through a secure web-based interface.

Our proprietary machine learning enhanced power market modelling reflects real world market behaviour to deliver power price forecasts

The Power Analytics Platform

Online Power Price Forecasting module – 1 year subscription or one-off access

  • Quarterly executive market report with key insights on modelling inputs and outputs
  • Quarterly expert videocall for updates and Q&A
  • Online access anytime, anywhere to your subscribed countries
  • Reliable forecasting enhanced by supervised machine learning
  • Dynamic, interactive charts and tables
  • Downloadable PDF report and Excel data books
  • Forecast results covering prices, generation, curtailment, and capture prices
  • Long-term day-ahead price projections (full hourly prices, 10 climate and weather years)
  • 3 forecast scenarios (base, slow, fast)
  • Comprehensive market and policy overview

 

On-request executive market reports

For users preferring standalone insights, Power Price Forecasts are also available as country-specific executive market reports, delivered via email. These reports include all core forecasting content but exclude online platform access and its interactive visualization features.

Trusted by energy leaders worldwide

DNV delivers trusted power price forecasts built on over 20 years of power market modelling in Europe and globally, and 8 years of supervised machine learning modelling for customers across the power market value chain.

Part of a 160-year-old independent global company and author of the renowned Energy Transition Outlook (ETO), DNV brings deep energy expertise and trusted market insight to power price forecasting.

DNV Power Price forecasting combines energy system modelling (ETO), fundamental power market modelling (PLEXOS), and machine learning. DNV’s power price forecast incorporates insights and outputs from these complementary approaches which reflect the power prices influence by the energy system, the economic dispatch of power market resources, and market behavior

20 + years

Supporting investment decisions and financial closure

20 + years

Power market modelling expertise

8 + years

Power market machine learning expertise

Forecasting resources