Food and beverage

DNV launches Seafood Forecast to 2050 at COP28

Explore the most likely future for the global seafood system within the Blue Economy


Høvik, Norway, 8 December 2023 – DNV, the risk management and assurance company, has published a Seafood Forecast that aims to untangle the complexities in seafood value chains and provide an objective view of developments to mid-century. This global forecast of the seafood industry covers both marine capture fisheries and marine aquaculture, including value chain components such as feed and global seafood trade.

The predictions are based on a systemic and balanced view of seafood markets, taking into consideration the main drivers of seafood consumption, including the causal relationships in seafood supply chains and competition among alternative protein sources. Through this approach, the forecast sheds light on many of the key questions stakeholders across the seafood value chain are asking themselves, such

  • What will be the role of seafood in global food demand?
  • How will marine aquaculture develop to meet seafood demand?
  • What will drive change in seafood trade patterns to 2050?
  • What will be the main sources of feed for marine aquaculture?

The forecast reveals that seafood demand is on the rise, growing faster than the demand for other protein sources in most regions. It predicts a doubling of marine aquaculture, and a tripling of finfish production, whereas global fisheries output remains stagnant. An analysis of socio-economic drivers shows that seafood trade patterns will change, mainly driven by increasing supply-demand imbalances. At the same time, feed supplies will diversify to reduce the aquaculture industry’s dependence on marine and agriculture-based ingredients.

“Our aim for this report has been to serve as input towards greater transparency as well as understanding of the development of seafood in the Blue Economy at both the global and regional scale,” says Bente Pretlove, DNV Programme Director, Ocean Space.

The forecast will be presented at the COP28 event Blue Foods for Sustainable Food Systems, and both the full report and the executive summary can be downloaded free of charge.

About DNV
DNV is an independent assurance and risk management provider, operating in more than 100 countries. Through its broad experience and deep expertise, DNV advances safety and sustainable performance, sets industry standards, and inspires and invents solutions.

Whether assessing a new ship design, qualifying technology for a floating wind farm, analysing sensor data from a gas pipeline or certifying a food company's supply chain, DNV enables its customers and their stakeholders to manage technological and regulatory complexity with confidence. 

Driven by its purpose, to safeguard life, property, and the environment, DNV helps its customers seize opportunities and tackle the risks arising from global transformations. DNV is a trusted voice for many of the world’s most successful and forward-thinking companies.