Emergency Response Service (ERS™)

Drift prediction

The drift prediction feature of the ERS™ makes it possible to predict the trajectory of a disabled ship that may be drifting in the water, an oil spill migrating with the wind and waves or a floating object such as a person, liferaft or container.

The ERS™ Duty Team is able to generate a predicted drift path by using state-of-the-art digital tools to perform simulations taking into account metocean conditions affecting wind, waves and currents.

This gives shipping companies fast access to precise tracking data that enables them to act quickly and plan an effective response to recover the drifting asset or implement search-and-rescue operations within a short timeframe.

ERS™ drift prediction allows for fast generation of the drift trajectory over a long period, giving stakeholders sufficient time to plan, react and mitigate.

Trajectory modelling is made as accurate as possible by combining global and local sources for forecasted wind, waves and currents.

Simulations are performed using a web-based service hosted by MET Norway (The Norwegian Meteorological Institute) and can be re-executed at any time according to changes in local environmental conditions.

ERS™ Drift Prediction facilitates:

  • Fast and accurate data insight into drift trajectories
  • Rapid and effective response planning
  • Minimized risk to life, assets and the environment