The study reveals that several major breakthroughs are required for successful commercialisation of second generation biofuels. Key stakeholders do not believe this will happen before 2015. The existing bo-refineries are small and scale up will be limited by feedstock logistics not technology or market challenges.

All the stakeholders agree that the biofuels industry will be heavily influenced by government and policy, to the extent that industry will be policy-driven. Also, the speed of penetration of biofuel will depend on the renewal of the car fleet, since most of today’s vehicles can only handle a low addition of biofuels.

The stakeholders also agree that not more than 10% of the transportation fuel will be biofuel on a global level, and that it will be sold blended with hydrocarbons.